Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.003389 0.003555 0.003724 0.003911 0.004110 0.004317 0.004549
2025-06-22 0.003060 0.003302 0.003560 0.003855 0.004185 0.004543 0.004963
2025-06-29 0.002883 0.003171 0.003487 0.003858 0.004285 0.004764 0.005346
2025-07-06 0.002674 0.002984 0.003328 0.003743 0.004231 0.004792 0.005493
2025-07-13 0.002568 0.002903 0.003281 0.003746 0.004305 0.004963 0.005805
2025-07-20 0.002507 0.002867 0.003282 0.003799 0.004435 0.005199 0.006204
2025-07-27 0.002408 0.002780 0.003214 0.003765 0.004453 0.005296 0.006427
2025-08-03 0.002324 0.002707 0.003159 0.003741 0.004478 0.005399 0.006659
2025-08-10 0.002246 0.002637 0.003105 0.003713 0.004496 0.005489 0.006875
2025-08-17 0.002217 0.002625 0.003119 0.003770 0.004623 0.005724 0.007293
2025-08-24 0.002158 0.002573 0.003080 0.003758 0.004656 0.005833 0.007543
2025-08-31 0.002097 0.002516 0.003034 0.003731 0.004668 0.005914 0.007756
2025-09-07 0.002024 0.002443 0.002964 0.003673 0.004637 0.005935 0.007884
2025-09-14 0.001958 0.002377 0.002902 0.003624 0.004614 0.005966 0.008029
2025-09-21 0.001919 0.002344 0.002880 0.003626 0.004661 0.006096 0.008323
2025-09-28 0.001838 0.002253 0.002782 0.003520 0.004554 0.006001 0.008273
2025-10-05 0.001804 0.002225 0.002763 0.003523 0.004599 0.006125 0.008562
2025-10-12 0.001791 0.002221 0.002778 0.003572 0.004711 0.006349 0.009019
2025-10-19 0.001748 0.002177 0.002737 0.003540 0.004705 0.006399 0.009198
2025-10-26 0.001710 0.002140 0.002703 0.003518 0.004710 0.006465 0.009408
2025-11-02 0.001672 0.002102 0.002667 0.003492 0.004709 0.006521 0.009602
2025-11-09 0.001665 0.002104 0.002687 0.003545 0.004827 0.006764 0.010121
2025-11-16 0.001635 0.002075 0.002662 0.003534 0.004847 0.006852 0.010381